Friday, September 12, 2014

Clear Skies Tonight? Go Out and See the Aurora

Clear Skies Tonight? Go Out and See the Aurora:



A low arc, glowing green from excited oxygen, spans the northern sky around 10:30 p.m Central Daylight Time from Duluth, Minn. The Big Dipper is off to the left. Credit: Bob King

A low arc, glowing green from excited oxygen, spans the northern sky around 9:30 p.m Central Daylight Time from Duluth, Minn. this evening September 11, 2014 at 9:30 p.m. CDTThe Big Dipper is off to the left. Credit: Bob King
Talk of aurora is in the air.  Our earlier story today by Elizabeth Howell alerted you to the possibility of northern lights. Well, it’s showtime!  As of 10:30 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time, the aurora has been active low in the northern sky.

Subtle pink rays stand above the green arc at 9:35 p.m. CDT. Credit: Bob King

Subtle pink rays stand above the green arc at 9:35 p.m. CDT. Credit: Bob King
From Duluth, Minn. U.S.,  a classic green arc low in the northern sky competed with the light of the rising gibbous moon. Once my eyes were dark-adapted, faint parallel rays stood streaked the sky above the arc. NOAA space weather forecasters expect this storm to peak between 1 a.m. CDT and sunrise Friday morning September 12 at a G2 or moderate level. Skywatchers across the northern tier of states and southern Canada should see activity across the northern sky. Moonlight will compromise the show to some degree

The approximate extent of the auroral oval forecast for 11:30 p.m. CDT from Ovation. Credit: NOAA

The approximate extent of the auroral oval forecast for 11:30 p.m. CDT from Ovation. Credit: NOAA
This is only the start. Things really kick into gear Friday night and Saturday morning with a G3 strong geomagnetic storm. Auroras might be visible as far south as Illinois and Kansas.

We’ll keep you in touch with the storm with regular updates over the next couple days. Here are some links to check during the night as you wait for the aurora to possibly put in an appearance at your house:

* Ovation oval – shows the approximate extent of the auroral oval that looks like a cap centered on Earth’s geomagnetic pole. During storms, the oval extends south into the northern U.S. and farther.

* Kp index – indicator of magnetic activity high overhead and updated every three hours. A Kp index of “5” means the onset of a minor storm; a Kp of “6”, a moderate storm.

* NOAA space weather forecast

* Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) satellite plots – The magnetic field direction of the arriving wind from the sun. The topmost graph, plotting Bz, is your friend. When the curve drops into the negative zone that’s good! A prolonged stay at -10 or lower increases the chance of seeing the aurora.

Tagged as:
aurora,
flare,
northern lights,
oval

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